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- πWhat's a 'good' return?
πWhat's a 'good' return?
Next Level Financial Modeling: Helping you become an expert commercial real estate underwriter every Saturday!
We all know the common metrics to calculate for real estate financial modeling.
Yield on cost, cap rate, break even occupancy, etc.
But what is a βgoodβ yield on cost? What do most investors consider an acceptable break even occupancy rate?
Here are some general guidelines for what most investors would consider acceptable numbers:
Yield on Cost
This metric helps answer the question if the return on capital invested in the project is sufficient to overcome a projectβs initial cost.
// What's a good Y.O.C.? Generally speaking, most investors would agree anything above 6% (stabilized) is acceptable.
Breakeven Occupancy
B.E.O. shows how much physical vacancy the property can handle to break even, in a worst case scenario. So if the property went down to X% occupancy, the sponsor can still pay all of the expenses and pay the mortgage.
Most investors would agree anything between 60% and 80% is acceptable.
Development Spread
This shows exactly how much value is being added in the deal, compared to buying a stabilized asset. This is helpful on-value add and development deals.
Most investors would agree anything between 1.5% and 2% is a βgoodβ development spread.
IRR
IRR is the annualized, time-weighted return of your investment. Generally speaking, here are some guidelines for what most investors would consider an acceptable IRR:
Acquisition of stabilized asset β 10% IRR
Acquisition & repositioning of asset β 14% IRR
Development in established area β 20% IRR
Development in rural area β 30% IRR
π CRE & Market News
π Stay Up-To-Date on Rates
US Ten Year Treasury Yield: 4.47%
30 Day Term SOFR: 5.34%
30 Day Average SOFR: 5.32%
Fannie Mae (1.35x DSC / 65% LTV / 10Y): 5.85% - 6.60%
Freddie Mac (1.35x DSC / 65% LTV / 10Y): 6.10% - 6.30%
5 Year FHLB: 4.75%
WSJ Prime Rate: 8.50%
π Chart of The Week
More than 66,000 Build-to-Rent Units Underway in Sun Belt
While the U.S. overall has seen moderate occupancy decline in the past five years, some small apartment markets are logging significantly worse performances.
As of early November, some 113,308 BTR units were under construction (including at properties in lease-up where construction is ongoing), according to RealPage Market Analytics.
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